10 Apr Betting aggregator GrandNational.org.Essex know who will win the Grand National
As punters saddle up for the return of the Grand National on Saturday 14th April, historical research into previous winners finds that Virgilio has the best chance of stealing the £561,000 prize.
Betting aggregator GrandNational.org.Essex has studied the winning horses since the Grand National started in 1839 and found that, statistically, the winner of the iconic race…
Has a handicap of 10st 7lbs
Has a starting price of 19/1
Is ridden by a jockey called John or Tommy
Is trained by a man called Tom
Has an owner called John
From this year’s expected line-up, Bay Gelding Virgilio perfectly matches the best age (nine) and handicap (10st 7lbs) and most closely resembles the typical Grand National winner.
And, with current odds of 100/1, this French horse could allow racing fans to rein in some serious earnings if he crosses the finish line first.
Those concerned about the unfavourable odds should be reassured that a 100/1 outsider has been victorious at Aintree as recently as 2009. Mon Mome – also nine-years-old at the time – won with jockey Liam Treadwell less than a decade ago.
A spokesperson from GrandNational.org.Essex commented, “Our research shows that, historically, nine-year-old horses weighing 10st 7lbs race best, so this makes Virgilio an interesting proposition, despite the bookies rating the horse at 100/1. When placing a bet on this year’s Grand National it’s worth considering the historical data as it is contrary to the bookmakers’ favourite of Total Recall.”